FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight Tweeting from a plane while reading Alvin Toffler's "Future Shock".

fivethirtyeight There's been a dramatic zero-point shift in the polls since Obama came out for gay marriage.

fivethirtyeight [new article] Swing Voters and Elastic States http://t.co/tYAJhwL5

fivethirtyeight [new article] The Most Powerful Special Interest in Washington: The Acronym http://t.co/ol92D094

fivethirtyeight [new article] Democrats' Odds of Retaining Senate Improve http://t.co/qJjLZpON

fivethirtyeight Survey of Professional Forecasters: 60% chance GDP will grow between 2%-2.9% in 2012. Way underestimates tail risks. http://t.co/IIBn5nUL

fivethirtyeight [new article] Gay Marriage and the Democratic Base http://t.co/gPJMMcz3

fivethirtyeight [new article] Support for Gay Marriage Outweighs Opposition in Polls http://t.co/WJceWz29

fivethirtyeight [new article] Moderate Republicans Fall Away in the Senate http://t.co/nh76HvIU

fivethirtyeight Amendment to ban gay marriage and domestic partnerships leading 57-43 in North Carolina so far. http://t.co/01Tc99sz

fivethirtyeight Don't see how Lugar can win if he's just breaking even in Indianapolis. Looks like his career is over. #INSEN

fivethirtyeight [new article] Is Obama More Popular Than He Should Be, Revisited http://t.co/1IsRthU0

fivethirtyeight Writing a book seems to abide by Zeno's Paradox. An infinite number of smaller steps, never quite reaching the finish line.

fivethirtyeight [new article] Reads and Reactions: Reader Comment Edition http://t.co/ncS8QsIC

fivethirtyeight [new article] Has Obama's Magic Jobs Number Changed? http://t.co/N4ms2wV2

fivethirtyeight This is the kind of thing you do when you've given up all pretense that you care about the truth: http://t.co/zoyLFWr9

fivethirtyeight [new article] North Carolina's Ban on Gay Marriage Appears Likely to Pass http://t.co/SfsIQay9

fivethirtyeight [new article] Is Obama More Popular Than He Should Be? http://t.co/KKX4kjLR

fivethirtyeight [new article] Lugar Loss Could Provide Pickup Opportunity for Democrats http://t.co/0sx2aJx4

fivethirtyeight Sort of disappointed that the Brooklyn Nets are calling their colors "black" and "white" instead of eggshell and raven.

fivethirtyeight [new article] What a Dearth of Small Donations May Mean for Romney http://t.co/JTYIYMFq

fivethirtyeight That's just, like, your subjective Bayesian prior, man.

fivethirtyeight Anybody know where I can find a transcript of James Hansen's June 1988 Congressional testimony on global warming?

fivethirtyeight [new article] Arizona Is (Probably) Not a Swing State http://t.co/VmsqxOM4

fivethirtyeight You shouldn't refer to a model output as a "prediction" unless you actually made it ahead of time.